The Liberal Party continues to have an 11-point lead over Labor in Tasmania’s state election race, according to new EMRS polling commissioned by the Liberal Party.
The Liberals are sitting on 37% of the primary vote, compared to Labor’s 26%.
Support for the Liberals has climbed five points since EMRS tracking began in June, while Labor has slipped by one.
The results echo a separate poll commissioned by Pulse Tasmania and conducted by DemosAU, which had the Liberals ahead 34.9% to Labor’s 24.7%.
When voters were asked who they would prefer as premier, 44% backed Rockliff compared to 29% for Winter in the EMRS poll.
The DemosAU survey showed a similar gap, with Rockliff preferred by 40.7% to Winter’s 31.1%.
Both polls have the Greens holding steady around 14–15%, while independents are attracting 19–20% of the vote – numbers that could prove decisive in determining who forms government.
If the polling plays out on election day tomorrow, Tasmania is heading for another hung parliament.
The Liberals are on track for 13 to 14 seats, Labor 9 to 10, the Greens 6 to 7 and independents 4 to 6.
The Nationals and Shooters, Fishers and Farmers are also each in the running to pick up a seat.
Meanwhile, new polling commissioned by Labor revealed voters ave tired of the Liberals and would prefer a new government.
The PYXIS poll of 2204 Tasmanian voters, conducted in late June, found that despite the Liberals leading Labor in opinion polls, there was significant sentiment that the Liberals have been in power for too long.
