Labor is on track to hold the marginal federal seat of Lyons by the slimmest of margins, according to fresh polling data released this month.
A uComms survey of 712 voters suggests Labor would retain the seat with 50.94% of the vote after preferences, narrowly edging out the Liberal Party on 49.06%.
If these results hold at the May 3 election, it would mirror the razor-thin margin from 2022, when Labor won with 50.92% to the Liberals’ 49.08%.
Commissioned by the Australian Forest Products Association, the poll shows first-preference support sitting at 29.49% for the Liberals, 27.23% for Labor and 14.56% for the Greens.
Minor parties received significant support with the Lambie Network at 5.8% and One Nation at 4.1%.
But with 13.11% of voters still undecided, the race still remains too close to call.
Labor’s new candidate Rebecca White has replaced outgoing MP Brian Mitchell and will face Liberal challenger Susie Bower.
The survey also gauged voter attitudes on forestry issues, finding strong support for the timber industry in Tasmania.
Eight in 10 voters backed the idea that Tasmania should “maintain its sustainable native timber industry” and there was strong support for planting more trees to tackle climate change and boost timber supply.
More than 60% said they’d be more likely to vote for a candidate or party with strong forestry and timber policies.
